1
49%
Home Win
2.06
X
35%
Draw
2.87
2
17%
Away Win
6.04
xG Home
1.01
xG Away
0.46
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS
24%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rubin an expected 1.0 goals and Makhachkala an expected 0.5 goals. Rubin have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Makhachkala at 17%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
23.2%
0:0
22.8%
2:0
11.8%
1:1
10.7%
0:1
10.6%
2:1
5.4%
3:0
4%
1:2
2.5%
0:2
2.4%
3:1
1.8%
2:2
1.3%
4:0
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rubin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Rubin | Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 14 |
| 43 | Points | 26 |
| 37% | Win % | 17% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.63 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
