Rubin vs Krasnodar Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 · Premier League
1 16%
Home Win 6.23
X 27%
Draw 3.75
2 57%
Away Win 1.75
xG Home 0.63
xG Away 1.46
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
BTTS 36%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Rubin an expected 0.6 goals and Krasnodar an expected 1.5 goals. Rubin have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Krasnodar at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 18%
0:2 13.2%
0:0 12.4%
1:1 11.4%
1:2 8.3%
1:0 7.8%
0:3 6.4%
1:3 4%
2:1 3.6%
2:2 2.6%
2:0 2.5%
0:4 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Krasnodar Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Rubin Krasnodar
8 League Position 2
43 Points 66
37% Win % 67%
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 2
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77

Head to Head

08 Mar 2026 Premier League
Rubin 2 : 1 FC Krasnodar
L
26 Oct 2025 Premier League
FC Krasnodar 1 : 0 Rubin
L
03 May 2025 Premier League
FC Krasnodar 2 : 1 Rubin
L