Rosenborg BK vs Fredrikstad Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Mon, 27 Jul 2026 · Eliteserien
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.19
xG Away 1.03
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Rosenborg BK an expected 1.2 goals and Fredrikstad an expected 1.0 goals. Rosenborg BK have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Fredrikstad at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
1:0 12.9%
0:1 11.2%
0:0 10.8%
2:1 7.9%
2:0 7.7%
1:2 6.9%
0:2 5.8%
2:2 4.1%
3:1 3.1%
3:0 3%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Rosenborg BK Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Rosenborg BK Fredrikstad
7 League Position 8
42 Points 42
37% Win % 37%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17

Venue Form

Rosenborg BK at Home
W4 D1 L0 (5 games)
80% win rate
Fredrikstad Away
W0 D1 L5 (6 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Rosenborg BK
W W W W D
Fredrikstad
D L L L L

Head to Head

28 May 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad 0 : 2 Rosenborg
W
05 Apr 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg 1 : 0 Fredrikstad
L
27 Jul 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad 2 : 2 Rosenborg
D