Rosario Central vs Racing Club Prediction

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Rosario Central Rosario Central
1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 29 Jul 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
1 42%
Home Win 2.39
X 32%
Draw 3.17
2 27%
Away Win 3.74
xG Home 1.08
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Rosario Central an expected 1.1 goals and Racing Club an expected 0.8 goals. Rosario Central have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Racing Club at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.4%
0:0 15.1%
1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.2%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 7.2%
1:2 5.3%
0:2 4.9%
3:0 3.2%
2:2 2.9%
3:1 2.6%
1:3 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Rosario Central Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Venue Form

Rosario Central at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Racing Club Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Rosario Central
W D W
Racing Club
W D L

Head to Head

13 May 2026 Liga Profesional Argentina
Rosario Central 2 : 1 Racing Club
L
28 Jan 2026 Liga Profesional Argentina
Racing Club 1 : 2 Rosario Central
W
30 Nov 2024 Liga Profesional Argentina
Rosario Central 0 : 2 Racing Club
W