Ried vs Austria Wien Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.26
xG Away 1.41
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Ried an expected 1.3 goals and Austria Wien an expected 1.4 goals. Ried have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Austria Wien at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
0:1 9.8%
1:0 8.8%
1:2 8.7%
2:1 7.7%
0:0 7%
0:2 6.9%
2:0 5.5%
2:2 5.4%
1:3 4.1%
0:3 3.2%
3:1 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Austria Wien Win
Probability 41%
Predicted Odds 2.44
Market Odds 2.59

Team Comparison

Ried Austria Wien
9 League Position 4
28 Points 36
36% Win % 50%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36

Venue Form

Ried at Home
W2 D1 L0 (3 games)
67% win rate
Austria Wien Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Ried
W D W
Austria Wien
D L