RB Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Bundesliga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.62
xG Away 1.04
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 52%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Salzburg an expected 1.6 goals and TSV Hartberg an expected 1.0 goals. RB Salzburg have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and TSV Hartberg at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.8%
1:0 11.3%
2:1 9.6%
2:0 9.2%
0:1 7.3%
0:0 7%
1:2 6.1%
3:1 5.2%
2:2 5%
3:0 5%
0:2 3.8%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick RB Salzburg Win
Probability 51%
Predicted Odds 1.96
Market Odds 2.09

Team Comparison

RB Salzburg TSV Hartberg
2 League Position 6
37 Points 33
45% Win % 36%
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09

Venue Form

RB Salzburg at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
TSV Hartberg Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

RB Salzburg
W
TSV Hartberg
D