1
51%
Home Win
1.96
X
25%
Draw
4.04
2
24%
Away Win
4.11
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Salzburg an expected 1.6 goals and TSV Hartberg an expected 1.0 goals. RB Salzburg have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and TSV Hartberg at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.8%
1:0
11.3%
2:1
9.6%
2:0
9.2%
0:1
7.3%
0:0
7%
1:2
6.1%
3:1
5.2%
2:2
5%
3:0
5%
0:2
3.8%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Salzburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| RB Salzburg | TSV Hartberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 6 |
| 37 | Points | 33 |
| 45% | Win % | 36% |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |