1
51%
Home Win
1.95
X
25%
Draw
4
2
24%
Away Win
4.21
xG Home
1.60
xG Away
1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives RB Salzburg an expected 1.6 goals and TSV Hartberg an expected 1.0 goals. RB Salzburg have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and TSV Hartberg at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.9%
1:0
11.9%
2:1
9.5%
2:0
9.5%
0:1
7.4%
0:0
7.4%
1:2
6%
3:1
5.1%
3:0
5%
2:2
4.8%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | RB Salzburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| RB Salzburg | TSV Hartberg | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 29 | Points | 25 |
| 41% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
