1
23%
Home Win
4.35
X
29%
Draw
3.5
2
48%
Away Win
2.06
xG Home
0.81
xG Away
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Racing Club an expected 0.8 goals and Boca Juniors an expected 1.3 goals. Racing Club have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Boca Juniors at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.8%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
12%
0:2
10.3%
1:0
9.7%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
5.1%
0:3
4.5%
2:0
3.9%
1:3
3.6%
2:2
3.4%
0:4
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Boca Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Racing Club | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 25 | Points | 29 |
| 44% | Win % | 50% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
Venue Form
Racing Club at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Boca Juniors Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Racing Club
D
D
Boca Juniors
D
W
W
W
