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Querétaro vs Puebla — Prediction

1 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Mon, 09 Nov 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
2026-11-09
Competition
Liga MX

Kickoff time is not confirmed. The date is shown in UTC.

Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Querétaro
  • FC Juarez 3–1 Querétaro
  • Querétaro 1–3 Cruz Azul
  • Atletico San Luis 2–1 Querétaro
  • Santos Laguna 5–0 Querétaro
  • Querétaro 2–0 Atlante FC
Puebla
  • Puebla 1–2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • Atlas 1–0 Puebla
  • Puebla 1–4 Monterrey
  • Club Tijuana 0–0 Puebla
  • Puebla 1–1 León FC
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Querétaro 17 · Puebla 17. Data saved: 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.21
Model goal expectation · 2 0.64
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
BTTS 33%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Querétaro 1.21 · Puebla 0.64.
1 50% · X 31% · 2 20%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 19.1%
0:0 15.8%
1:1 12.2%
2:0 11.5%
0:1 10.1%
2:1 7.3%
3:0 4.6%
1:2 3.9%
0:2 3.2%
3:1 3%
2:2 2.3%
4:0 1.4%

About this assessment

Model outcome Querétaro Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2

Team Comparison

Querétaro Puebla
11 League Position 17
20 Points 13
24% Win % 18%
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53

Venue Form

Querétaro at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Puebla Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Querétaro
L L L L W
Puebla
L L L D D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.