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León FC vs Guadalajara Chivas — Prediction

León FC León FC
1 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Mon, 09 Nov 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
9 Nov 2026, 02:10 UTC
Competition
Liga MX
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

León FC
  • Cruz Azul 2–1 León FC
  • León FC 1–1 Toluca
  • Tigres UANL 0–2 León FC
  • León FC 3–5 Club América
  • Puebla 1–1 León FC
Guadalajara Chivas
  • Monterrey 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas
  • Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Necaxa
  • Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL
  • Atlas 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas
  • Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 Querétaro
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: León FC 17 · Guadalajara Chivas 17. Data saved: 2026-11-05 15:10 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Guadalajara Chivas 45% · 2026-11-08 01:10 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.02
Model goal expectation · 2 2.47
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
BTTS 59%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: León FC 1.02 · Guadalajara Chivas 2.47.
1 14% · X 17% · 2 69%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 9.5%
0:2 9.3%
1:3 7.8%
1:1 7.7%
0:3 7.7%
0:1 7.5%
2:2 4.8%
1:4 4.8%
0:4 4.7%
2:3 4%
2:1 3.9%
1:0 3.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Guadalajara Chivas Win
Probability 69%
Predicted Odds 1.45

Team Comparison

León FC Guadalajara Chivas
10 League Position 2
22 Points 36
41% Win % 65%
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

León FC at Home
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate
Guadalajara Chivas Away
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

León FC
L D W L D
Guadalajara Chivas
W W D D L

More Liga MX Predictions

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Club América
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 56%
Querétaro vs Puebla
Mon 09 Nov Tip: 1 · 50%

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01

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A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

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03

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Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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