1
24%
Home Win
4.14
X
23%
Draw
4.27
2
52%
Away Win
1.91
xG Home
1.12
xG Away
1.77
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives QPR an expected 1.1 goals and Middlesbrough an expected 1.8 goals. QPR have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Middlesbrough at 52%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
0:1
9.8%
1:2
9.7%
0:2
8.7%
1:0
6.2%
2:1
6.2%
1:3
5.7%
0:0
5.6%
2:2
5.5%
0:3
5.1%
2:0
3.5%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Middlesbrough Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| QPR | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 5 |
| 58 | Points | 80 |
| 35% | Win % | 48% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.57 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
Venue Form
QPR at Home
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Middlesbrough Away
W0
D3
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
QPR
L
L
L
Middlesbrough
L
D
D
D
