1
30%
Home Win
3.38
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
43%
Away Win
2.33
xG Home
1.06
xG Away
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Preston an expected 1.1 goals and Millwall an expected 1.3 goals. Preston have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Millwall at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
12.2%
1:0
9.7%
0:0
9.2%
1:2
8.6%
0:2
8.1%
2:1
6.8%
2:0
5.1%
2:2
4.5%
1:3
3.8%
0:3
3.6%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Millwall Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Preston | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 3 |
| 60 | Points | 83 |
| 33% | Win % | 52% |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Venue Form
Preston at Home
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Millwall Away
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
Preston
L
W
L
L
L
Millwall
D
L
D
D
W
