1
32%
Home Win
3.11
X
28%
Draw
3.54
2
40%
Away Win
2.53
xG Home
1.08
xG Away
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Portsmouth FC an expected 1.1 goals and Birmingham an expected 1.2 goals. Portsmouth FC have a 32% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Birmingham at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.2%
0:1
12.3%
1:0
10.8%
0:0
10%
1:2
8.1%
0:2
7.5%
2:1
7.1%
2:0
5.8%
2:2
4.3%
1:3
3.3%
0:3
3.1%
3:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Birmingham Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Portsmouth FC | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 10 |
| 55 | Points | 64 |
| 30% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Portsmouth FC at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Birmingham Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Portsmouth FC
W
D
W
Birmingham
L
D
D
