1
51%
Home Win
1.97
X
28%
Draw
3.55
2
21%
Away Win
4.74
xG Home
1.35
xG Away
0.76
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
39%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pohang Steelers an expected 1.3 goals and Gimcheon Sangmu FC an expected 0.8 goals. Pohang Steelers have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.4%
1:1
12.4%
0:0
12.1%
2:0
11%
0:1
9.2%
2:1
8.4%
3:0
5%
1:2
4.7%
3:1
3.8%
0:2
3.5%
2:2
3.2%
4:0
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pohang Steelers Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Pohang Steelers | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 11 |
| 28 | Points | 17 |
| 42% | Win % | 11% |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
D
L
