1
22%
Home Win
4.53
X
34%
Draw
2.96
2
44%
Away Win
2.27
xG Home
0.62
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pohang Steelers an expected 0.6 goals and Gangwon FC an expected 1.0 goals. Pohang Steelers have a 22% win probability, draw stands at 34%, and Gangwon FC at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
19.7%
0:0
19.5%
1:1
12.3%
1:0
12.1%
0:2
10%
1:2
6.2%
2:1
3.8%
2:0
3.8%
0:3
3.4%
1:3
2.1%
2:2
1.9%
0:4
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gangwon FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Pohang Steelers | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 28 | Points | 32 |
| 42% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.63 |
Venue Form
Gangwon FC Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Gangwon FC
D
D
W