1
40%
Home Win
2.53
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
33%
Away Win
3.03
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pogoń Szczecin an expected 1.3 goals and Korona Kielce an expected 1.1 goals. Pogoń Szczecin have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Korona Kielce at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
11.3%
0:1
10.1%
0:0
8.8%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
7.4%
2:0
7.2%
0:2
5.8%
2:2
4.8%
3:1
3.6%
3:0
3.1%
1:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Pogoń Szczecin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Pogoń Szczecin | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 11 |
| 45 | Points | 43 |
| 38% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Pogoń Szczecin at Home
W3
D1
L2
(6 games)
Korona Kielce Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Pogoń Szczecin
W
D
L
W
L
Korona Kielce
W
L
L
