Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 09 Oct 2026 · Ekstraklasa
1 46%
Home Win 2.18
X 25%
Draw 4
2 29%
Away Win 3.44
xG Home 1.57
xG Away 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
BTTS 55%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Raków Częstochowa an expected 1.6 goals and GKS Katowice an expected 1.2 goals. Raków Częstochowa have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and GKS Katowice at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.8%
1:0 9.9%
2:1 9.3%
2:0 7.8%
0:1 7.5%
1:2 7.1%
0:0 6.3%
2:2 5.5%
3:1 4.8%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.1%
3:2 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Raków Częstochowa Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Team Comparison

Raków Częstochowa GKS Katowice
4 League Position 5
55 Points 50
47% Win % 41%
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32

Venue Form

Raków Częstochowa at Home
W2 D0 L4 (6 games)
33% win rate
GKS Katowice Away
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Raków Częstochowa
L L L W W
GKS Katowice
L L D D