1
43%
Home Win
2.33
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
31%
Away Win
3.2
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Jagiellonia an expected 1.5 goals and Gornik Zabrze an expected 1.2 goals. Jagiellonia have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Gornik Zabrze at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
10.2%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.4%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7.4%
0:0
7%
2:2
5.4%
0:2
5.1%
3:1
4.3%
3:0
3.6%
1:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Jagiellonia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Jagiellonia | Gornik Zabrze | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 2 |
| 56 | Points | 56 |
| 44% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Jagiellonia at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Gornik Zabrze Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Jagiellonia
L
W
W
L
Gornik Zabrze
W
W
D
W
