Platense vs Unión Santa Fe Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 25 Jul 2026 · Liga Profesional Argentina
1 42%
Home Win 2.39
X 32%
Draw 3.17
2 27%
Away Win 3.74
xG Home 1.08
xG Away 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
BTTS 37%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Platense an expected 1.1 goals and Unión Santa Fe an expected 0.8 goals. Platense have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Unión Santa Fe at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 16.4%
0:0 15.1%
1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.2%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 7.2%
1:2 5.3%
0:2 4.9%
3:0 3.2%
2:2 2.9%
3:1 2.6%
1:3 1.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Unión Santa Fe Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Platense at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
Unión Santa Fe Away
W1 D2 L1 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Platense
D L L W
Unión Santa Fe
D L W D

Head to Head

22 Jan 2026 Liga Profesional Argentina
Union Santa Fe 0 : 0 Platense
D
02 Dec 2024 Liga Profesional Argentina
Platense 1 : 0 Union Santa Fe
L
20 Feb 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union Santa Fe 0 : 0 Platense
D