1
38%
Home Win
2.66
X
28%
Draw
3.51
2
34%
Away Win
2.94
xG Home
1.18
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Piast Gliwice an expected 1.2 goals and Widzew Łódź an expected 1.1 goals. Piast Gliwice have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Widzew Łódź at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12%
0:1
11.3%
0:0
10.2%
2:1
7.8%
1:2
7.3%
2:0
7.1%
0:2
6.2%
2:2
4.3%
3:1
3.1%
3:0
2.8%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Piast Gliwice Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Piast Gliwice | Widzew Łódź | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 14 |
| 41 | Points | 42 |
| 32% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Piast Gliwice at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Widzew Łódź Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Piast Gliwice
L
D
W
Widzew Łódź
D
L
L
L
