1
72%
Home Win
1.39
X
18%
Draw
5.47
2
10%
Away Win
10.19
xG Home
2.12
xG Away
0.63
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Philadelphia Union an expected 2.1 goals and Montréal Impact an expected 0.6 goals. Philadelphia Union have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Montréal Impact at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
14.4%
1:0
13.6%
3:0
10.1%
2:1
9.1%
1:1
8.6%
0:0
6.4%
3:1
6.4%
4:0
5.4%
0:1
4%
4:1
3.4%
2:2
2.9%
1:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Philadelphia Union Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Philadelphia Union | Montréal Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 13 |
| 66 | Points | 28 |
| 59% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Philadelphia Union at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Montréal Impact Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union
D
D
W
Montréal Impact
L
L
