1
72%
Home Win
1.39
X
18%
Draw
5.48
2
10%
Away Win
10.15
xG Home
2.12
xG Away
0.64
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives FC Cincinnati an expected 2.1 goals and DC United an expected 0.6 goals. FC Cincinnati have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and DC United at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
14.3%
1:0
13.4%
3:0
10.1%
2:1
9.1%
1:1
8.6%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
6.3%
4:0
5.4%
0:1
4%
4:1
3.4%
2:2
2.9%
1:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Cincinnati Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| FC Cincinnati | DC United | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 15 |
| 65 | Points | 26 |
| 59% | Win % | 15% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.94 |
Venue Form
FC Cincinnati at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
DC United Away
W1
D3
L1
(5 games)
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati
W
D
W
DC United
D
W
D
D
L
