1
38%
Home Win
2.62
X
26%
Draw
3.91
2
36%
Away Win
2.75
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
1.35
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives New York City FC an expected 1.4 goals and Nashville SC an expected 1.4 goals. New York City FC have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Nashville SC at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
8.9%
0:1
8.7%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.2%
0:0
6.4%
2:0
6.2%
0:2
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
3:1
3.9%
1:3
3.7%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | New York City FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| New York City FC | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 56 | Points | 54 |
| 50% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
New York City FC at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Nashville SC Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
New York City FC
L
D
L
Nashville SC
D
W
