1
72%
Home Win
1.39
X
18%
Draw
5.66
2
10%
Away Win
9.67
xG Home
2.22
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Philadelphia Union an expected 2.2 goals and Atlanta United FC an expected 0.7 goals. Philadelphia Union have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Atlanta United FC at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.2%
1:0
11.9%
3:0
9.8%
2:1
9.3%
1:1
8.4%
3:1
6.9%
4:0
5.4%
0:0
5.4%
4:1
3.8%
0:1
3.8%
2:2
3.3%
1:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Philadelphia Union Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Philadelphia Union | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 14 |
| 66 | Points | 28 |
| 59% | Win % | 15% |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Philadelphia Union at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Atlanta United FC Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Philadelphia Union
D
D
W
Atlanta United FC
L
W
L
