1
37%
Home Win
2.72
X
24%
Draw
4.18
2
39%
Away Win
2.55
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.57
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives New York Red Bulls an expected 1.5 goals and Orlando City an expected 1.6 goals. New York Red Bulls have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Orlando City at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
8.2%
0:1
7.2%
1:0
6.9%
2:2
6.5%
0:2
5.6%
2:0
5.2%
0:0
4.6%
1:3
4.5%
3:1
4.2%
2:3
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Orlando City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| New York Red Bulls | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 9 |
| 43 | Points | 53 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
New York Red Bulls at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Orlando City Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
New York Red Bulls
L
D
W
Orlando City
L
W
L
