1
79%
Home Win
1.26
X
13%
Draw
7.45
2
7%
Away Win
13.66
xG Home
2.70
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris Saint Germain an expected 2.7 goals and Stade Brestois 29 an expected 0.7 goals. Paris Saint Germain have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Stade Brestois 29 at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
12.1%
3:0
10.9%
1:0
9%
2:1
8.6%
3:1
7.7%
4:0
7.3%
1:1
6.3%
4:1
5.2%
0:0
3.3%
2:2
3%
3:2
2.7%
0:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 79% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.27 |
| Market Odds | 1.35 |
Team Comparison
| Paris Saint Germain | Stade Brestois 29 | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 12 |
| 76 | Points | 39 |
| 71% | Win % | 29% |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.62 |
Venue Form
Paris Saint Germain at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Stade Brestois 29 Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain
W
D
W
L
Stade Brestois 29
W
L
L
D