Paris Saint Germain vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
2 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 10 May 2026 · Ligue 1
1 79%
Home Win 1.26
X 13%
Draw 7.45
2 7%
Away Win 13.66
xG Home 2.70
xG Away 0.71
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Paris Saint Germain an expected 2.7 goals and Stade Brestois 29 an expected 0.7 goals. Paris Saint Germain have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Stade Brestois 29 at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 66%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 12.1%
3:0 10.9%
1:0 9%
2:1 8.6%
3:1 7.7%
4:0 7.3%
1:1 6.3%
4:1 5.2%
0:0 3.3%
2:2 3%
3:2 2.7%
0:1 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Paris Saint Germain Win
Probability 79%
Predicted Odds 1.27
Market Odds 1.35

Team Comparison

Paris Saint Germain Stade Brestois 29
1 League Position 12
76 Points 39
71% Win % 29%
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62

Venue Form

Paris Saint Germain at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Stade Brestois 29 Away
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Paris Saint Germain
W D W L
Stade Brestois 29
W L L D