Pardubice vs Zlin Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Czech Liga
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.71
xG Away 1.33
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Pardubice an expected 1.7 goals and Zlin an expected 1.3 goals. Pardubice have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Zlin at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.9%
2:1 9.3%
1:0 8.2%
1:2 7.2%
2:0 7%
0:1 6.4%
2:2 6.2%
3:1 5.3%
0:0 4.8%
0:2 4.2%
3:0 4%
3:2 3.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Pardubice Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Team Comparison

Pardubice Zlin
8 League Position 12
41 Points 34
37% Win % 30%
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6

Venue Form

Pardubice at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Zlin Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Pardubice
W L
Zlin
D L