Pardubice vs FK Jablonec Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 · Czech Liga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.17
xG Away 1.48
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Pardubice an expected 1.2 goals and FK Jablonec an expected 1.5 goals. Pardubice have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FK Jablonec at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.2%
0:1 10.4%
1:2 9%
1:0 8.3%
0:2 7.7%
2:1 7.2%
0:0 7.1%
2:2 5.3%
2:0 4.9%
1:3 4.4%
0:3 3.8%
3:1 2.8%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick FK Jablonec Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Pardubice FK Jablonec
8 League Position 4
41 Points 51
37% Win % 50%
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Pardubice at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
FK Jablonec Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Pardubice
W L
FK Jablonec
W L W

Head to Head

15 Feb 2026 Czech Liga
Pardubice 0 : 2 FK Jablonec
W
14 Sep 2025 Czech Liga
FK Jablonec 3 : 2 Pardubice
L
13 Apr 2025 Czech Liga
FK Jablonec 1 : 0 Pardubice
L