1
30%
Home Win
3.32
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
44%
Away Win
2.27
xG Home
1.17
xG Away
1.48
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Pardubice an expected 1.2 goals and FK Jablonec an expected 1.5 goals. Pardubice have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FK Jablonec at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
0:1
10.4%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.3%
0:2
7.7%
2:1
7.2%
0:0
7.1%
2:2
5.3%
2:0
4.9%
1:3
4.4%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FK Jablonec Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Pardubice | FK Jablonec | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 4 |
| 41 | Points | 51 |
| 37% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
