1
72%
Home Win
1.39
X
21%
Draw
4.78
2
7%
Away Win
14.22
xG Home
1.76
xG Away
0.37
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives PAOK an expected 1.8 goals and Aris Thessaloniki an expected 0.4 goals. PAOK have a 72% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Aris Thessaloniki at 7%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
21%
2:0
18.5%
0:0
11.9%
3:0
10.9%
1:1
7.7%
2:1
6.8%
4:0
4.8%
0:1
4.4%
3:1
4%
4:1
1.8%
1:2
1.4%
2:2
1.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PAOK Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| PAOK | Aris Thessaloniki | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 8 |
| 57 | Points | 30 |
| 65% | Win % | 23% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.77 |
| 0.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
Venue Form
Aris Thessaloniki Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Aris Thessaloniki
L
