1
24%
Home Win
4.11
X
27%
Draw
3.77
2
49%
Away Win
2.04
xG Home
0.94
xG Away
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Panathinaikos an expected 0.9 goals and PAOK an expected 1.5 goals. Panathinaikos have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and PAOK at 49%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
1:1
12.5%
0:2
9.7%
0:0
9.1%
1:2
9.1%
1:0
8.6%
2:1
5.9%
0:3
4.7%
1:3
4.4%
2:2
4.3%
2:0
4%
2:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | PAOK Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 49% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.04 |
| Market Odds | 2.17 |
Team Comparison
| Panathinaikos | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 49 | Points | 57 |
| 54% | Win % | 65% |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.65 |
