1
71%
Home Win
1.42
X
19%
Draw
5.34
2
11%
Away Win
9.36
xG Home
2.10
xG Away
0.67
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Panathinaikos an expected 2.1 goals and Panetolikos an expected 0.7 goals. Panathinaikos have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Panetolikos at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.8%
1:0
13.1%
3:0
9.7%
2:1
9.3%
1:1
8.8%
3:1
6.5%
0:0
6.3%
4:0
5.1%
0:1
4.2%
4:1
3.4%
2:2
3.1%
1:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Panathinaikos Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Panathinaikos | Panetolikos | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 11 |
| 49 | Points | 26 |
| 54% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
Venue Form
Panathinaikos at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Panetolikos Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Panathinaikos
W
W
Panetolikos
W
