1
21%
Home Win
4.84
X
22%
Draw
4.55
2
57%
Away Win
1.74
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.93
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orenburg an expected 1.1 goals and Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 1.9 goals. Orenburg have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Lokomotiv Moscow at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.3%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
9.6%
0:2
9.3%
1:3
6.4%
0:3
6%
2:1
5.5%
1:0
5.3%
2:2
5.3%
0:0
5%
2:3
3.4%
1:4
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lokomotiv Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Orenburg | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 3 |
| 29 | Points | 53 |
| 23% | Win % | 47% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
Venue Form
Orenburg at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Orenburg
L