1
10%
Home Win
10.4
X
18%
Draw
5.55
2
72%
Away Win
1.38
xG Home
0.63
xG Away
2.14
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orenburg an expected 0.6 goals and Krasnodar an expected 2.1 goals. Orenburg have a 10% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and Krasnodar at 72%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
14.3%
0:1
13.4%
0:3
10.2%
1:2
9%
1:1
8.4%
1:3
6.5%
0:0
6.3%
0:4
5.5%
1:0
3.9%
1:4
3.5%
2:2
2.9%
2:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Krasnodar Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 72% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.39 |
| Market Odds | 1.48 |
Team Comparison
| Orenburg | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 2 |
| 29 | Points | 66 |
| 23% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.77 |
Venue Form
Orenburg at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Krasnodar Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Orenburg
D
L
Krasnodar
D
