1
33%
Home Win
3.03
X
33%
Draw
3.01
2
34%
Away Win
2.96
xG Home
0.88
xG Away
0.89
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Orenburg an expected 0.9 goals and FC Rostov an expected 0.9 goals. Orenburg have a 33% win probability, draw stands at 33%, and FC Rostov at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
17%
0:1
15.2%
1:0
15%
1:1
13.3%
0:2
6.8%
2:0
6.6%
1:2
5.9%
2:1
5.9%
2:2
2.6%
0:3
2%
3:0
1.9%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | FC Rostov Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Orenburg | FC Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 10 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 23% | Win % | 27% |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
Head to Head
FC Rostov
0 : 1
FC Orenburg
W
FC Orenburg
0 : 1
FC Rostov
W
FC Orenburg
1 : 2
FC Rostov
W
