1
44%
Home Win
2.27
X
27%
Draw
3.72
2
29%
Away Win
3.43
xG Home
1.38
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Norwich City an expected 1.4 goals and Birmingham an expected 1.1 goals. Norwich City have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Birmingham at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
1:0
11.9%
0:1
9.2%
2:1
8.8%
0:0
8.6%
2:0
8.2%
1:2
6.8%
0:2
4.9%
2:2
4.7%
3:1
4.1%
3:0
3.8%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Norwich City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Norwich City | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 10 |
| 65 | Points | 64 |
| 41% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
Venue Form
Norwich City at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Birmingham Away
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Norwich City
D
W
Birmingham
D
D
