1
19%
Home Win
5.26
X
23%
Draw
4.31
2
58%
Away Win
1.73
xG Home
0.91
xG Away
1.77
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nice an expected 0.9 goals and Lille an expected 1.8 goals. Nice have a 19% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Lille at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.2%
1:1
11%
0:2
10.8%
1:2
9.8%
0:0
6.9%
0:3
6.4%
1:0
6.2%
1:3
5.8%
2:1
5%
2:2
4.4%
2:0
2.8%
0:4
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Nice | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 3 |
| 32 | Points | 61 |
| 21% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
Venue Form
Nice at Home
W0
D2
L0
(2 games)
Lille Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Nice
D
D
Lille
W
W
D
