1
9%
Home Win
11.36
X
16%
Draw
6.11
2
75%
Away Win
1.34
xG Home
0.66
xG Away
2.32
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Newell’s Old Boys an expected 0.7 goals and Boca Juniors an expected 2.3 goals. Newell’s Old Boys have a 9% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Boca Juniors at 75%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
13.7%
0:1
11.8%
0:3
10.6%
1:2
9%
1:1
7.8%
1:3
7%
0:4
6.2%
0:0
5.1%
1:4
4%
1:0
3.3%
2:2
2.9%
2:1
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Boca Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 75% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.33 |
| Market Odds | 1.42 |
Team Comparison
| Newell’s Old Boys | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 1 |
| 14 | Points | 29 |
| 19% | Win % | 50% |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
Venue Form
Newell’s Old Boys at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Boca Juniors Away
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Newell’s Old Boys
W
D
Boca Juniors
W
W
W
