1
34%
Home Win
2.96
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
38%
Away Win
2.6
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Newell’s Old Boys an expected 1.1 goals and Banfield an expected 1.2 goals. Newell’s Old Boys have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Banfield at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
0:1
11.4%
1:0
10.5%
0:0
9.2%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
7.1%
2:0
6%
2:2
4.7%
1:3
3.4%
0:3
2.9%
3:1
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Banfield Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Newell’s Old Boys | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 9 |
| 14 | Points | 21 |
| 19% | Win % | 38% |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
Venue Form
Newell’s Old Boys at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Banfield Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Newell’s Old Boys
D
W
D
Banfield
L
W
D
L
