1
31%
Home Win
3.19
X
24%
Draw
4.24
2
45%
Away Win
2.22
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives New England Revolution an expected 1.4 goals and Orlando City an expected 1.7 goals. New England Revolution have a 31% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Orlando City at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.7%
1:2
9.2%
0:1
7.7%
2:1
7.5%
0:2
6.6%
2:2
6.4%
1:0
6.3%
1:3
5.2%
0:0
4.5%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
3.7%
2:3
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Orlando City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| New England Revolution | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 9 |
| 36 | Points | 53 |
| 26% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
New England Revolution at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
Orlando City Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
New England Revolution
W
W
W
Orlando City
L
W
L
