Montréal Impact vs Columbus Crew Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 · Major League Soccer
1 23%
Home Win 4.31
X 24%
Draw 4.24
2 53%
Away Win 1.88
xG Home 1.07
xG Away 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Montréal Impact an expected 1.1 goals and Columbus Crew an expected 1.8 goals. Montréal Impact have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Columbus Crew at 53%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.2%
0:1 10.4%
1:2 9.8%
0:2 9.1%
1:0 6.4%
2:1 6%
0:0 5.9%
1:3 5.7%
0:3 5.3%
2:2 5.2%
2:0 3.4%
2:3 3.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Columbus Crew Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

Montréal Impact Columbus Crew
13 League Position 7
28 Points 54
18% Win % 41%
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Montréal Impact at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Columbus Crew Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Montréal Impact
W W W
Columbus Crew
L