1
29%
Home Win
3.47
X
27%
Draw
3.74
2
44%
Away Win
2.25
xG Home
1.07
xG Away
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Montréal Impact an expected 1.1 goals and New England Revolution an expected 1.4 goals. Montréal Impact have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and New England Revolution at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.7%
0:1
11.8%
1:0
9%
1:2
8.9%
0:0
8.4%
0:2
8.3%
2:1
6.8%
2:0
4.9%
2:2
4.8%
1:3
4.1%
0:3
3.9%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | New England Revolution Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Montréal Impact | New England Revolution | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 11 |
| 28 | Points | 36 |
| 18% | Win % | 26% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Montréal Impact at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
New England Revolution Away
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Montréal Impact
W
W
W
New England Revolution
D
W
W
