1
43%
Home Win
2.3
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
30%
Away Win
3.31
xG Home
1.42
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Molde an expected 1.4 goals and KFUM Oslo an expected 1.1 goals. Molde have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and KFUM Oslo at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
11%
2:1
8.9%
0:1
8.8%
2:0
7.8%
0:0
7.7%
1:2
7.1%
2:2
5.1%
0:2
5%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
3.7%
1:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Molde Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Molde | KFUM Oslo | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 12 |
| 39 | Points | 35 |
| 40% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Molde at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
KFUM Oslo Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Molde
D
L
W
W
KFUM Oslo
L
D
L
