Mladá Boleslav vs Baník Ostrava Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · Czech Liga
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.81
xG Away 1.02
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Mladá Boleslav an expected 1.8 goals and Baník Ostrava an expected 1.0 goals. Mladá Boleslav have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Baník Ostrava at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10.9%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 9.9%
2:0 9.7%
0:1 6%
3:1 5.9%
0:0 5.9%
3:0 5.8%
1:2 5.5%
2:2 5%
0:2 3.1%
3:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Mladá Boleslav Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79
Market Odds 1.9

Team Comparison

Mladá Boleslav Baník Ostrava
11 League Position 16
35 Points 22
27% Win % 17%
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Mladá Boleslav at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate
Baník Ostrava Away
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate

Recent Form

Mladá Boleslav
W W
Baník Ostrava
D L L W