1
63%
Home Win
1.58
X
25%
Draw
4.08
2
12%
Away Win
8.2
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
0.53
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
33%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mjällby AIF an expected 1.6 goals and IFK Göteborg an expected 0.5 goals. Mjällby AIF have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and IFK Göteborg at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19%
2:0
15.1%
0:0
12%
1:1
10.2%
2:1
8.1%
3:0
8%
0:1
6.4%
3:1
4.3%
4:0
3.2%
1:2
2.7%
2:2
2.2%
0:2
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mjällby AIF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Mjällby AIF | IFK Göteborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 75 | Points | 51 |
| 77% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Mjällby AIF at Home
W3
D1
L1
(5 games)
IFK Göteborg Away
W1
D2
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Mjällby AIF
D
L
W
W
W
IFK Göteborg
L
W
L
D
D