1
55%
Home Win
1.82
X
26%
Draw
3.78
2
19%
Away Win
5.34
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
0.74
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
40%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Millwall an expected 1.5 goals and Oxford United an expected 0.7 goals. Millwall have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Oxford United at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.1%
1:1
11.9%
2:0
11.9%
0:0
10.9%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
8%
3:0
5.9%
1:2
4.4%
3:1
4.3%
2:2
3.3%
0:2
3%
4:0
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Millwall Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Millwall | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 22 |
| 83 | Points | 47 |
| 52% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.98 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
Venue Form
Millwall at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Oxford United Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Millwall
W
L
W
W
W
Oxford United
L
L
