1
43%
Home Win
2.31
X
28%
Draw
3.54
2
28%
Away Win
3.52
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Malmö FF an expected 1.3 goals and IFK Göteborg an expected 1.0 goals. Malmö FF have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and IFK Göteborg at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.4%
1:1
13.1%
0:0
10.5%
0:1
10.2%
2:0
8.6%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
6.4%
0:2
5%
2:2
4.1%
3:0
3.7%
3:1
3.6%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Malmö FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
Team Comparison
| Malmö FF | IFK Göteborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 4 |
| 49 | Points | 51 |
| 43% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Malmö FF at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
IFK Göteborg Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Malmö FF
W
L
L
IFK Göteborg
W
L
D
D
