1
64%
Home Win
1.57
X
24%
Draw
4.08
2
12%
Away Win
8.42
xG Home
1.59
xG Away
0.52
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mjällby AIF an expected 1.6 goals and AIK Stockholm an expected 0.5 goals. Mjällby AIF have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and AIK Stockholm at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.3%
2:0
15.3%
0:0
12.2%
1:1
10%
3:0
8.1%
2:1
8%
0:1
6.3%
3:1
4.2%
4:0
3.2%
1:2
2.6%
2:2
2.1%
4:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mjällby AIF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 64% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.56 |
| Market Odds | 1.66 |
Team Comparison
| Mjällby AIF | AIK Stockholm | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 7 |
| 75 | Points | 48 |
| 77% | Win % | 43% |
| 1.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
Venue Form
Mjällby AIF at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
AIK Stockholm Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Mjällby AIF
W
W
W
AIK Stockholm
W
D
L
