Mjällby AIF vs AIK Stockholm Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sat, 11 Jul 2026 · Allsvenskan
1 64%
Home Win 1.57
X 24%
Draw 4.08
2 12%
Away Win 8.42
xG Home 1.59
xG Away 0.52
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
BTTS 32%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Mjällby AIF an expected 1.6 goals and AIK Stockholm an expected 0.5 goals. Mjällby AIF have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and AIK Stockholm at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 19.3%
2:0 15.3%
0:0 12.2%
1:1 10%
3:0 8.1%
2:1 8%
0:1 6.3%
3:1 4.2%
4:0 3.2%
1:2 2.6%
2:2 2.1%
4:1 1.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Mjällby AIF Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Team Comparison

Mjällby AIF AIK Stockholm
1 League Position 7
75 Points 48
77% Win % 43%
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1

Venue Form

Mjällby AIF at Home
W3 D1 L2 (6 games)
50% win rate
AIK Stockholm Away
W2 D3 L1 (6 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Mjällby AIF
L D L W W
AIK Stockholm
D D W W D

Head to Head

20 Jul 2025 Allsvenskan
Mjallby AIF 2 : 0 AIK Stockholm
L
11 May 2025 Allsvenskan
AIK Stockholm 2 : 1 Mjallby AIF
L
11 Aug 2024 Allsvenskan
AIK Stockholm 1 : 0 Mjallby AIF
L