1
60%
Home Win
1.67
X
22%
Draw
4.6
2
19%
Away Win
5.4
xG Home
1.94
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives GAIS an expected 1.9 goals and IF Elfsborg an expected 1.0 goals. GAIS have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and IF Elfsborg at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
10.5%
1:1
10.3%
2:0
10.2%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
6.6%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
5.4%
0:1
5.3%
1:2
5%
2:2
4.9%
4:0
3.2%
3:2
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | GAIS Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| GAIS | IF Elfsborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 8 |
| 52 | Points | 40 |
| 47% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
Venue Form
GAIS at Home
W2
D1
L0
(3 games)
IF Elfsborg Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
GAIS
W
W
D
IF Elfsborg
L
