1
58%
Home Win
1.71
X
22%
Draw
4.64
2
20%
Away Win
4.98
xG Home
1.98
xG Away
1.07
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Malmö FF an expected 2.0 goals and IF Elfsborg an expected 1.1 goals. Malmö FF have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and IF Elfsborg at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.3%
2:0
9.2%
3:1
6.5%
3:0
6.1%
1:2
5.4%
2:2
5.3%
0:1
5.1%
0:0
4.7%
3:2
3.5%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Malmö FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Malmö FF | IF Elfsborg | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 8 |
| 49 | Points | 40 |
| 43% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
Venue Form
Malmö FF at Home
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
IF Elfsborg Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Malmö FF
W
W
L
L
IF Elfsborg
L
L
Head to Head
IF Elfsborg
2 : 2
Malmo FF
D
Malmo FF
2 : 1
IF Elfsborg
L
Malmo FF
1 : 0
IF Elfsborg
L
