1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
21%
Draw
4.7
2
31%
Away Win
3.25
xG Home
2.04
xG Away
1.61
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
70%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lokomotiv Moscow an expected 2.0 goals and Dinamo Moscow an expected 1.6 goals. Lokomotiv Moscow have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Dinamo Moscow at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.7%
1:1
8.5%
2:2
7%
1:2
6.9%
3:1
5.9%
2:0
5.4%
1:0
5.3%
3:2
4.8%
0:1
4.2%
2:3
3.8%
1:3
3.7%
3:0
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lokomotiv Moscow Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Dinamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 7 |
| 53 | Points | 45 |
| 47% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
